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Pay off student loans
or invest? Your exact answer.

Three stages. Rough answer in 30 seconds, then refine as much as you need. Formula-driven — no guesswork.

✓Formula-driven, not AI-guessed ✓IRS 2026 rules applied ✓No data stored or sent ✓Updated 2026
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1
Stage 1 — The quick answer
Start from a profile, or enter your own numbers below
Not sure of exact numbers? Estimates work fine at this stage — you'll refine them in Stage 2. Use round numbers and get the rough picture first.
$
Your remaining balance
%
Your annual rate
$
To put toward debt or investing
Enter all three values to see your result
Your rough answer
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Pay off clearly Invest clearly
Break-even investment return
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If your investments earn above — annually, investing likely wins. This is your loan's effective rate after the tax deduction.
Methodology last reviewed April 2026 · View sources →
2
Stage 2 — Refine your answer
Adding your real numbers will make this more accurate. See exactly how the answer changes.
%
S&P 500 real avg ≈ 7%
%
Affects deduction value
yrs
Standard = 10 years
Refined answer
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Pay off clearly Invest clearly
Break-even return (refined)
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After your 22% bracket deduction, this is your loan's true effective cost. Any investment return above this builds more wealth.
3
Stage 3 — Add a life event
What kind of event?
yrs
From today
$
One-time payment
Impact on your Freedom Date
—
🗓
Multi-phase planning coming in Phase 2
Model complex sequences like minimum payments for 3 years, then a lump sum, then split invest/payoff strategy. Get notified when it launches.
⚠ Educational tool only. Not personalised financial advice. How we calculate this.
Explore scenarios
Expected investment return 7.0%
Extra monthly cash $400
Loan interest rate 5.8%
Pessimistic
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4% returns
Realistic
—
Your input
Optimistic
—
10% returns
Invest path growth Payoff interest saved Return range 4–10%
Your scenario analysis is ready
Get an audit-ready PDF with all scenarios — for less than one hour of advisor time.
✓ Amortisation. Standard amortisation formula. Extra payment is applied to principal first each month, reducing the interest base going forward and compressing the payoff timeline non-linearly.
✓ IRS Publication 970 (2026 tax year). Student loan interest deduction: up to $2,500/year deductible against ordinary income. The break-even rate displayed already reflects your after-deduction effective cost. IRS Publication 970 →
✓ Deduction phase-out thresholds (2026). Phase-out begins at MAGI $75,000 (single) / $155,000 (joint) and is fully phased out at $90,000 / $185,000. Set your tax bracket to 0% in Stage 2 if your income exceeds the upper limit.
✓ Investment return source. Default 7% sourced from NYU Stern's Damodaran dataset — S&P 500 arithmetic average real returns, 1928–2025. Past returns do not guarantee future results. NYU Stern Damodaran data →
✓ Privacy. All calculation runs in your browser. No data transmitted.
Limitations. Does not account for: employer 401(k) match (always maximise this first), state income taxes, income-driven repayment (IDR), Public Service Loan Forgiveness (PSLF), or inflation. Consult a licensed CFP for your specific situation.
Common questions
Does the $2,500 student loan interest deduction affect this?
Yes — applied automatically. The deduction phases out at MAGI $75k–$90k (single) or $155k–$185k (joint) for 2026. Your break-even rate already reflects your effective after-deduction cost. If you're above the phase-out threshold, set your tax bracket to 0% in Stage 2.
What if I'm on PSLF or income-driven repayment?
Forgiveness programmes change the maths fundamentally. On PSLF, aggressive extra payments can mean forfeiting forgiven principal — the opposite of efficient. Use the Teacher/PSLF preset as a starting point and note that minimising payments (not maximising them) is often optimal if forgiveness is likely.
Why should I maximise my employer 401k match before using this?
Employer match is an immediate 50–100% guaranteed return on your contribution. No debt payoff or market investment comes close. Maximise match first, build a 3–6 month emergency fund second, then use this calculator to decide between extra debt payments and further investing.
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